International Energy Agency launches the World Energy Outlook 2015
10.11.2015
The World Energy Outlook 2015 presents updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as detailed insights on the prospects for fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency and analysis on trends in CO2 emissions and fossil-fuel and renewable energy subsidies.
In the New Policies Scenario of the Outlook, the number of people without access to electricity declines from 1.2 billion (2013) to around 810 million in 2030 and 550 million in 2040 (6% of the global population at that time). The population growth that occurs in parallel masks the fact that around 1.8 billion people gain access through to 2030, and that this increases to 2.7 billion by 2040. The number of people in the world without access to clean cooking decreases by one-third to 1.8 billion in 2040 in the New Policies Scenario. Global progress continues to take place at a dual speed. Nearly one billion people in sub-Saharan Africa gain access to electricity through to 2040, and yet half a billion remain without it at that time, while in developing Asia, the number of people without electricity falls by around two-thirds by 2030 (185 million) and stands at 50 million in 2040, just 1% of the Asian population at that time.
The IEA estimated that the number of people in the world without access to clean cooking will decrease by one-third to 1.8 billion in 2040 in the New Policies Scenario. Developing Asia still hosts the biggest population in this category at the end of the projection period, with half a billion people relying on the traditional use of biomass in India alone. In China, although universal access to electricity is achieved early in the projection period, the picture on access to clean cooking facilities looks very different, with around 10% of the population still lacking access in 2040. In sub-Saharan Africa, the switch to cleaner solutions is expected to happen in parallel with rapid urbanisation. The price of charcoal, which is widely used in urban areas of Africa today, is also expected to increase with higher demand and forest depletion, and more efficient cooking solutions then provide fuel (and monetary) savings to users, as well as better energy quality.
Globally, electricity access investments increase over time, and average $30 billion per year over the Outlook period. The additional global electricity demand in 2040 resulting from new access is around 640 TWh reflecting the low levels of per-capita consumption of many of those gaining access. On the other hand, the average annual investment for clean cooking technologies is $980 million through to 2040. The largest portion is in LPG stoves in urban areas. LPG is also adopted in rural areas, but improved biomass clean cookstoves also represent an attractive solution for poor households, as capital and fuel costs are typically lower.
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In the New Policies Scenario of the Outlook, the number of people without access to electricity declines from 1.2 billion (2013) to around 810 million in 2030 and 550 million in 2040 (6% of the global population at that time). The population growth that occurs in parallel masks the fact that around 1.8 billion people gain access through to 2030, and that this increases to 2.7 billion by 2040. The number of people in the world without access to clean cooking decreases by one-third to 1.8 billion in 2040 in the New Policies Scenario. Global progress continues to take place at a dual speed. Nearly one billion people in sub-Saharan Africa gain access to electricity through to 2040, and yet half a billion remain without it at that time, while in developing Asia, the number of people without electricity falls by around two-thirds by 2030 (185 million) and stands at 50 million in 2040, just 1% of the Asian population at that time.
The IEA estimated that the number of people in the world without access to clean cooking will decrease by one-third to 1.8 billion in 2040 in the New Policies Scenario. Developing Asia still hosts the biggest population in this category at the end of the projection period, with half a billion people relying on the traditional use of biomass in India alone. In China, although universal access to electricity is achieved early in the projection period, the picture on access to clean cooking facilities looks very different, with around 10% of the population still lacking access in 2040. In sub-Saharan Africa, the switch to cleaner solutions is expected to happen in parallel with rapid urbanisation. The price of charcoal, which is widely used in urban areas of Africa today, is also expected to increase with higher demand and forest depletion, and more efficient cooking solutions then provide fuel (and monetary) savings to users, as well as better energy quality.
Globally, electricity access investments increase over time, and average $30 billion per year over the Outlook period. The additional global electricity demand in 2040 resulting from new access is around 640 TWh reflecting the low levels of per-capita consumption of many of those gaining access. On the other hand, the average annual investment for clean cooking technologies is $980 million through to 2040. The largest portion is in LPG stoves in urban areas. LPG is also adopted in rural areas, but improved biomass clean cookstoves also represent an attractive solution for poor households, as capital and fuel costs are typically lower.
For more information on World Energy Outlook 2015…